DraftKings & FanDuel PGA DFS Guide | The Genesis Invitational ⛳

Everything you need to know about this week's PGA tournament!

By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter & LineStar Chat

Top DFS Offers 2/13/25 💸 

Our editors found the top deals in sports-books so you don’t have to! Tapping below links will help support LineStar through an affiliate referral.

Must be 18+ (some states may require 21+) and be present in an eligible state; if you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

Tournament & Field 🏆

The PGA Tour will spend one final week out on the West Coast before heading south of the border for the Mexico Open next week and beginning the “Florida Swing” the week after that. The Genesis Invitational lands on the docket this week. Typically, this event is hosted by Riviera Country Club in Pacific Palisades, CA, just outside of Los Angeles, but as you can imagine, the devastating wildfires have forced the PGA to relocate the tournament. It will now be played at Torrey Pines (South Course) in San Diego, CA. If the name of that course causes some amount of deja vu, it’s because it was just played three weeks ago as the host course for the Farmers Insurance Open, won by Harris English. The venue change throws an added hitch into the mix this week, but it’s a slight miracle that the PGA didn’t have to cancel the tournament altogether given the circumstances and such short notice.

This event draws an extremely strong field every year and, given its “Signature Event” status in 2025, this go-'round is no different. The strength of this field realistically rivals that of a Major tournament. 46 of the world’s top 50-ranked golfers lie within this week’s 72-player field. 29 players in this field competed on this course at the Farmers Insurance Open three weeks ago. Tiger Woods was also expected to make his season debut this week but he will continue to spend time away from golf following the recent loss of his mother.

Despite the smaller field size, there will still be a 36-hole cut coming after Friday’s round where the top 50 players on the leaderboard (including ties) and those within 10 shots of the lead will advance into the weekend. So, just be aware that, while this is a smaller field similar to what we saw at this year’s AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, it will NOT be a no-cut event. With such a star-studded field, you’ll notice some extremely talented golfers priced way down from where they would normally be. While I prefer a more balanced approach in cash games, feel free to get a bit riskier in your GPPs since around 70% of the field is guaranteed to make the cut.

The Course Preview

Torrey Pines South

Par 72 | 7,765 Yards

Greens: Poa

 

Torrey Pines South Course checks in as the longest track on the PGA Tour circuit at a whopping 7,765 yards. It routinely plays as one of the most difficult courses on Tour and has previously been the host venue for the U.S. Open in 2008 and 2021. Harris English won the Farmers Insurance Open here three weeks ago by a score of just 8-under par (with one round played on the North Course).

Torrey Pines South features narrow, tree-lined fairways that have an average width of 27.5 yards and are riddled with bunkers throughout. The fairways are challenging to hit and the gnarly 2.5+” rough can be ruthless to escape. Given the extreme length, bombers tend to have a clear advantage here—provided they can mostly avoid the rough. Even when they do land in the rough, their strength and clubhead speed give them a better chance of advancing the ball. This doesn’t entirely rule out shorter hitters, but they’ll need to be both accurate off the tee and excellent with their long irons to stay competitive.

The smaller, multi-tiered Poa annua greens are well-protected and provide one final challenge for players this week. Poa annua is a tricky putting surface, growing quickly throughout the day, which can lead to bumpier, more unpredictable lines in the afternoon. Golfers tend to either love it or hate it, with few neutral opinions on the subject. The greens typically run fast (~13 on the stimpmeter), and the back-to-front slopes will lead to plenty of quick putts. This is no birdie fest—winning scores have ranged between 6-under and 15-under in nine of the last 10 years (for the FIO), with Justin Rose’s 21-under in 2019 being the lone outlier.

With all that said, let’s dive into the weather, key stats for the week, and show which golfers are trending in my model. Best of luck!

Weather & Tee Times

For anyone new to PGA DFS, we take a look at the weather to see if there is an advantage for golfers either teeing up Thursday morning/Friday afternoon (AM/PM wave) or for the guys starting their rounds Thursday afternoon/Friday morning (PM/AM wave). Your top priority in PGA DFS is to get 6-out-of-6 golfers in your lineups through the cut line and into the weekend – from there, anything can happen! If there is an edge to be had for either wave, it is important to take advantage!

Click the images above to view the most up-to-date forecasts.

⚖️Weather Verdict: A wet and breezy start with scattered showers both Thursday and Friday, sustained winds around 10mph, and gusts near 20mph. Rain may pick up late Thursday, with a softer course likely by Friday. No major tee-time edge, but a slight lean toward a Thurs AM / Fri PM wave. The weekend clears up with calm winds and no rain.

 

Key Stats to Consider 📊

1. Strokes Gained: Tee to Green | 25%

2. Birdie or Better Percentage | 20%

3. Driving Distance | 15%

4. Par 5 Average | 15%

5. Rough Proximity | 10%

6. Proximity from 200+ Yards | 10%

7. Strokes Gained: Putting | 5%

Genesis Invitational DFS Model Standouts 🏅

Below are the top 25 ranked golfers in both my overall model and my key stats model. Below that are the top 25 leaders in average finishing position over the last five and last ten starts. The players ranked on these lists do not necessarily mean they are the top golfers I’m targeting for this week's event, but many of these guys should no doubt be favorable DFS options.

Overall Model Rank: A golfer’s ranking (within the current field) in my personal DFS model, which weighs all of the key stats listed above in this newsletter, as well as factors like course history, recent form, recent average fantasy scoring results, and odds to win.

Key Stat Rank: Provides a golfer’s overall rank (within the current field) in my "key stats only" model, which considers only the key stats listed in the section above with the specified percentage weights allocated towards each statistic.

Note: Unfortunately, I’ve been stuck traveling for much of the day and simply didn’t have time to put a cheat sheet together. This newsletter is already coming out much later than I’d like. Feel free to reference the model/stat/recent form rankings above to find players who are “popping” for this tournament. Back to normal with a cheat sheet included next week!

That will do it for our PGA preview! Best of luck this week and, once again, feel free to hit me up in the LineStar chat or on Twitter @Ryan_Humphries with any questions.