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By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter & LineStar Chat

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Tournament & Field 🏆

The world’s best head out to Oakmont Country Club, just outside of Pittsburgh, PA in preparation to compete in the 125th edition of the US Open! The 156-man field is loaded with talent, as 57 of the top 60 ranked golfers in the world (according to DataGolf rankings) are in attendance. The US Open also provides exemptions to many other lower-ranking pros and amateurs alike who punched their tickets via qualifying competitions across the country. Recent Major winners who rank outside the top 60 in the OWGR are also extended an invite along with qualifying amateurs around the world and other players who meet special exemptions as determined by the USGA.

This tournament truly provides some of the best storylines every year – not just in golf, but in the world of sports as a whole. There will be no shortage of narratives to back and underdogs to root for. The US Open also implements a unique cut rule where only the top 60 golfers (including ties) after 36 holes will move on to play the weekend. With that in mind, we could end up seeing a very low 6/6 rate this week. Carnage, chaos, joy, and jubilation will be ingrained with every shot this week before an eventual winner can be crowned on Father’s Day Sunday. Best of luck!

The Course Preview ⛳

Oakmont Country Club

Par 70 | 7,372 Yards

Greens: Poa Annua (Bentgrass Overseed)

U.S. Open Winners & Winning Scores L5Years

2024: Bryson DeChambeau , 6-under (Pinehurst #2)

2023: Wyndham Clark, 10-under (L.A. Country Club)

2022: Matt Fitzpatrick, 6-under (The Country Club)

2021: Jon Rahm, 6-under (Torrey Pines)

2020: Bryson DeChambeau, 6-under (Winged Foot)

The U.S. Open returns to Oakmont for the 10th time, and most recently hosted this tournament back in 2016 when Dustin Johnson won with a score of four-under par. If history serves as any indicator, golfers are in for another brutal test. There are no water hazards on this course and nearly zero trees will come into play. However, the hazards that do reside around this course have some real bite. Very thick rough, punishing bunkers, and lightning-fast, undulating greens define this iconic venue—but nothing stands out more than the Church Pew bunkers between Holes 3 and 4. They span over 100 yards and are filled with grass-capped ridges that act like a sandy penalty box for anyone who misses wide off the tee.

Oakmont doesn’t just test you off the tee—it puts your entire bag under pressure. The green complexes are large but viciously contoured, and with the USGA setting pins, expect a full week of tucked flags that will lead to brutal roll-offs. Though a big-hitter like Dustin Johnson emerged victorious here in 2016, the leaderboard was filled with short-game specialists who also possessed reliable irons.

While the course stretches to over 7,300 yards as a Par 70, the bulk of that yardage comes from a handful of holes—like the two 600+ yard Par 5s and the 500-yard closing Par 4 hole. The eighth hole is also set to be the longest Par 3 in Major championship history at 289 yards on the scorecard, and it could play over 300 yards for at least one round this week. There are several shorter Par 4s under 410 yards, which introduce more strategy than power and open the door for a variety of play styles. Still, with low GIR rates expected and scrambling at a premium, this U.S. Open looks like it’ll favor players who can survive on and around the greens, not just blast it off the tee.

Oakmont doesn’t need tricks or gimmicks to show its teeth—it’s just pure, punishing golf. Players who can grind out pars, manage their misses, and lean on elite iron play and short game will be the ones hanging around late Sunday. Don’t expect a birdie-fest here—this will be a survival test from start to finish, and that’s exactly how a U.S. Open should be.

Weather & Tee Times ⛅

Click the image above to view the most up-to-date forecasts.

⚖️Weather Verdict: U.S. Open week is always a tough one, but weather conditions do not look as if they’ll add any significant problems. The sun may not shine through the cloud coverage very much this week, but aside from some rain chances over the weekend, which could lead to delays in play, things look pretty manageable. Cool morning, warm afternoons, and, most importantly, wind speeds should stay in the single digits all week outside of the occasional 10-15 mph gust. Pending any major forecast changes, I see no wave advantage to be had.

U.S. Open Tee Times

Key Stats to Consider 📊

Note: Keep in mind that many golfers in this week’s field do not have enough (or any) measured PGA rounds this season needed to qualify for strokes gained data.

1. Strokes Gained: Approach | 25%

2. Par 4 Average | 15%

3. Bogey Avoidance | 15%

4. Long Iron Accuracy: Proximity from 175+ Yards | 15%

5. Strokes Gained: Around the Green | 10%

6. Scrambling | 10%

7. Strokes Gained: Off the Tee | 10%

PGA Tour Stats Page

U.S. Open DFS Model Standouts 🏅

Below are the top 25 ranked golfers in both my overall model and my key stats model. Below that are the top 25 leaders in average finishing position over the last five and last ten starts. The players ranked on these lists do not necessarily mean they are the top golfers I’m targeting for this week's event, but many of these guys should no doubt be favorable DFS options.

Overall Model Rank: A golfer’s ranking (within the current field) in my personal DFS model, which weighs all of the key stats listed above in this newsletter, as well as factors like course history, recent form, recent average fantasy scoring results, and odds to win.

Key Stat Rank: Provides a golfer’s overall rank (within the current field) in my "key stats only" model, which considers only the key stats listed in the section above with the specified percentage weights allocated towards each statistic.

Note: LIV golfers are not included in the “Overall Model” and “Key Stats” rankings as they do not qualify for PGA data. However, LIV golfers will be included in the recent/long-term form rankings.

U.S. Open DFS Cheat Sheet📑

Click the Cheat Sheet above for the higher-quality direct image link

Alternative Cheat Sheet Direct Image Link

That will do it for our PGA preview! Best of luck this week and, once again, feel free to hit me up in the LineStar chat or on Twitter @Ryan_Humphries with any questions.