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PGA DFS Guide + DraftKings & FanDuel Cheat Sheet | Bermuda Championship ⛳
Everything you need to know about this week's PGA tournament!
By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter & LineStar Chat
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Tournament & Field 🏆
The PGA Tour sets its sights towards the middle of the Atlantic where the island country of Bermuda will host the Butterfield Bermuda Championship at Port Royal Golf Course. Until the calendar flips over to 2025, these “FedEx Cup Fall Series” events will continue to host some weak fields as guys try to improve their positioning or simply qualify for the upcoming official PGA season beginning in January.
In this field consisting of 132 players, only 13 of the world’s top 100 ranked golfers will be on-site with Lucas Glover (OWGR No. 48) representing the highest-ranked player. Still, if you’re looking to play PGA DFS once the real high-profile events come around in 2025, this will be another good week to get familiar with the lower-profile golfers on Tour or some up-and-coming PGA talent that will eventually compete in those more coveted tournaments. The standard cut line is in effect with the top 65 golfers (including ties) on the leaderboard after 36 holes moving on to play the weekend. Best of luck!
The Course Preview ⛳
Port Royal Golf Course
Par 71 | 6,828 Yards
Greens: Bermuda
First Tee: Thursday, November 14th at 6:00 am ET
Port Royal Golf Course is a Par 71 ocean-side track (three Par 5s, four Par 3s) which modestly extends just over 6,800 yards, making it one of the shorter courses on the PGA Tour. This is only the seventh year this course has hosted this tournament, so course history may not be extensive but multiple years of success here is certainly a plus for any golfer. This is also a resort course, so we can expect some low scores as long as conditions are favorable. Even with some fairly windy conditions at this event last year, Camilo Villegas won with a score of 24-under but, under very windy conditions in 2021, Lucas Herbert won with a score of only 15-under -- still a low score, just not “easy resort course that the pros tear up” low.
So, as discussed, scoring will largely be weather-dependent since wind is the primary course defense at Port Royal GC – more on that in the weather section below. Off the tee, golfers will see plenty of notable elevation changes as they aim toward fairways that are average in width, but difficult to hit, and possess bunkers designed to protect the preferred landing zones. Water will also come into play on a handful of holes. Many golfers will also likely elect to go with a less-than-driver approach on certain holes, but even tee shots that miss the short grass won’t land in rough that is all too penalizing. The Bermuda grass greens are smaller in size but, again, since this is a resort course they should play relatively slow and won’t carry a vast amount of slope or undulation.
Weather & Tee Times ⛅
For anyone new to PGA DFS, we take a look at the weather to see if there is an advantage for golfers either teeing up Thursday morning/Friday afternoon (AM/PM wave) or for the guys starting their rounds Thursday afternoon/Friday morning (PM/AM wave). Your top priority in PGA DFS is to get 6-out-of-6 golfers in your lineups through the cut line and into the weekend – from there, anything can happen! If there is an edge to be had for either wave, it is important to take advantage!
Click the images above to view the most up-to-date forecasts.
⚖️Weather Verdict: Winds are going to be very prevalent this week. Every golfer is going to have to contend with them at some point, and Saturday looks like it could be total mayhem on “moving day”. That said, prior to the cut line being determined, the Thursday PM golfers look to get the better side of the draw so a slight edge could be given to the PM/AM wave. It’s not a massive edge but, as long as the current forecast holds, it’s an edge nonetheless.
Key Stats to Consider 📊
1. Strokes Gained: Ball Striking (SG: App + SG: OTT) | 30%
2. Birdie or Better Percentage | 25%
3. Par 4 Average | 20%
4. Strokes Gained: Around the Green | 15%
5. Strokes Gained: Putting | 10%
Bermuda Championship DFS Model Standouts 🏅
Below are the top 25 ranked golfers in both my overall model and my key stats model. Below that are the top 25 leaders in average finishing position over the last five and last ten starts. The players ranked on these lists do not necessarily mean they are the top golfers I’m targeting for this week's event, but many of these guys should no doubt be favorable DFS options.
Overall Model Rank: A golfer’s ranking (within the current field) in my personal DFS model, which weighs all of the key stats listed above in this newsletter, as well as factors like course history, recent form, recent average fantasy scoring results, and odds to win.
Key Stat Rank: Provides a golfer’s overall rank (within the current field) in my "key stats only" model, which considers only the key stats listed in the section above with the specified percentage weights allocated towards each statistic.
Bermuda Championship DFS Cheat Sheet📑
Click the Cheat Sheet above for the higher-quality direct image link
Cheat Sheet QR Code:
That will do it for our PGA preview! Best of luck this week and, once again, feel free to hit me up in the LineStar chat or on Twitter @Ryan_Humphries with any questions.