By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter & LineStar Chat

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Tournament & Field 🏆

The RBC Canadian Open hits the schedule this week and once again finds itself slotted just ahead of the U.S. Open on the calendar. With the season’s third Major looming, several big names have opted to take the week off, or perhaps get some early scouting on next week’s course (Oakmont Country Club), but there’s still a quality field on hand — headlined by two-time Canadian Open champ and the overwhelming +450 betting favorite on the week, Rory McIlroy, along with well-known golfers like Ludvig Åberg, Shane Lowry, Sam Burns, Sungjae Im, and top Canadian golfer Corey Conners.

The field will feature 156 players with a standard top-65 [and ties] cut line coming after Friday’s second round. As always, a strong contingent of non-PGA Tour Canadian-born players have earned exemptions, which adds a flock of fellow countrymen for the Canadian spectators to root for. Tournaments just ahead of Majors often get overlooked but there is still plenty of money to be made and contests to win this week! Best of luck!

The Course Preview ⛳

TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course)

Par 70 | 7,445 Yards

Greens: Bentgrass

TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course) will host the Canadian Open for the first time following a recent renovation designed to elevate the venue to PGA Tour standards. The course is part of the TPC (Tournament Players Club) network and plays as a lengthy Par 70 stretching over 7,400 yards, winding through a parkland setting with light water hazards and just under 50 total bunkers. Despite its length, the setup isn’t overly challenging off the tee, making it a course where aggressive drivers may look to take advantage with a bomb-and-gouge strategy.

That said, the recent renovation wasn’t just cosmetic — it added strategic nuance aimed at challenging PGA Tour caliber players across all facets of their game. This isn’t expected to be a brute-force test like some of the season’s longest venues, but rather a more balanced layout where precision and scoring efficiency will matter. In terms of profile, this course draws comparisons to other TPC Tour stops like TPC Craig Ranch, TPC Scottsdale, and TPC River Highlands — layouts where iron play and scoring on Par 4s often separate the contenders.

While there are only two Par 5s on the card, both are reachable in two shots and should present solid birdie opportunities for the field. Two of the four Par 3s measure under 160 yards, meaning wedge play and proximity control from 150-175 yards will be an important shot distance bucket range. The Par 4s, however, bring the teeth of the course. Six of them play over 450 yards, and these will test both long iron approach play and scrambling ability, especially when players miss the green on these tougher holes.

TPC Toronto doesn’t require pinpoint accuracy off the tee, but players will still need to control their ball well enough to avoid the handful of water hazards and strategic bunkering scattered throughout. It’s not an overly technical driving course, but like TPC Scottsdale, careless tee shots can still lead to some crooked numbers.

All in all, this is shaping up to be a well-rounded test ahead of next week’s U.S. Open. Bombers will have an edge off the tee, but players with sharp approach play, solid scrambling, and strong mid-iron control will be the ones most likely to rise up the leaderboard.

Weather & Tee Times ⛅

Click the images above to view the most up-to-date forecasts.

⚖️Weather Verdict: The weather looks fairly steady throughout the week with only minor concerns. Thursday morning could bring a few early showers and 15+ mph gusts, but conditions improve by the afternoon. Friday is shaping up to be dry and calm all day, with sustained winds staying below 10 mph. The weekend looks manageable as well, though there’s a slight chance of rain on Sunday. There is no major advantage to be seen but, if you’re deciding between two players who are in opposing waves, perhaps side with the Thursday PM/Friday AM golfer as they should see the slightly better wind draw on Thursday and also won’t have to deal with the actively rainy conditions on Thursday morning.

RBC Canadian Open Tee Times

Key Stats to Consider 📊

1. Strokes Gained: Approach | 25%

2. Par 4 Average | 20%

3. Birdie or Better % | 20%

4. Strokes Gained: Off the Tee | 15%

5. Proximity: 150-175 Yards | 10%

6. Strokes Gained: Around the Green | 10%

PGA Tour Stats Page

Canadian Open DFS Model Standouts 🏅

Below are the top 25 ranked golfers in both my overall model and my key stats model. Below that are the top 25 leaders in average finishing position over the last five and last ten starts. The players ranked on these lists do not necessarily mean they are the top golfers I’m targeting for this week's event, but many of these guys should no doubt be favorable DFS options.

Overall Model Rank: A golfer’s ranking (within the current field) in my personal DFS model, which weighs all of the key stats listed above in this newsletter, as well as factors like course history, recent form, recent average fantasy scoring results, and odds to win.

Key Stat Rank: Provides a golfer’s overall rank (within the current field) in my "key stats only" model, which considers only the key stats listed in the section above with the specified percentage weights allocated towards each statistic.

Canadian Open DFS Cheat Sheet📑

Click the Cheat Sheet above for the higher-quality direct image link

Alternative Cheat Sheet Direct Image Link

That will do it for our PGA preview! Best of luck this week and, once again, feel free to hit me up in the LineStar chat or on Twitter @Ryan_Humphries with any questions.