By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter & LineStar Chat

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Tournament & Field 🏆

Scottie Scheffler is your 2024 Masters champion! Following the biggest week in the sport, the PGA Tour will take the short trip over to Hilton Head, SC to tee it up for the RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links. Since this tournament immediately follows Masters week, the field for the RBC Heritage has often been fairly mediocre in the past with just a few bigger names sprinkled in. However, this year’s RBC Heritage has received “Signature Event” status. With the elevated status, that means we’ll see a smaller, but extremely talented field tee it up this week. The field will consist of 69 players and include 50 of the top 60 ranked golfers in the Official World Golf Rankings. Only seven players in this field rank outside the top 100. With the smaller field, there will be no cut in play this week so, barring injury, withdrawal, or disqualification, every golfer is guaranteed to play four rounds. Harbour Town GL is a beautiful course that often provides plenty of entertainment and this edition should be no different!

The Course Preview ⛳

Harbour Town Golf Links

Par 71 | 7,213 Yards

Greens: Bermuda

Course Difficulty Rank Last 5 Years: 24th, 19th, 26th, 37th, 11th

Cut Line Last 5 Years: -2, E, -2, -4, E

Harbour Town GL has hosted this event every year since its inception in 1969. It is a classic Pete Dye-designed Par 71 course that extends to just over 7,200 yards on the scorecard length. The fairways are narrow and tree-lined and the Bermuda greens are some of the smallest on the entire PGA Tour circuit. There are a total of 54 bunkers and 17 water hazards scattered throughout the course which golfers will need to navigate around. Most golfers will likely keep the big stick in the bag for the majority of holes because hitting these fairways is crucial. The average drive here tends to be only about 275 yards, which is well below the PGA Tour average. There is no doubt that bombers will have the opportunity to challenge with their driver on a few holes where they could carry over certain hazards, but for the most part, expect to see a less-than-driver approach taken off of the tee for all players on the majority of holes.

Pete Dye courses put a golfer’s mental fortitude and tee-to-green creativity to the test and they are intentionally designed to invoke challenging sight lines from the tee box. This forces golfers to find the more optimal landing zones so they can better frame their approach shots when targeting these incredibly small greens. With the greens being so small, the greens hit in regulation percentage at Harbour Town GL is annually one of the lowest GIR percentages of any course on Tour. So, while an emphasis on accurate iron play is necessary, a crafty short game will also be needed since, inevitably, every golfer will miss their target on some approaches. The most common approach distance at this course will come from the 175-200 yard range, which gives the golfers with more accurate long irons a nice advantage. Many of those lengthy irons will be needed on the four long Par 3s, all of which measure between 190 to 200 yards.

The difficulty in which this course plays is heavily influenced by the weather. Since Harbour Town GL is right by the ocean, the wind tends to play a major factor. In previous years, wind speeds have caused this course to rank as either a moderately easy course when played in light winds or as one of the more challenging courses when played in heavier winds. We’ll get into the forecast in more detail below but the early outlook shows that winds will be fairly cooperative this week! Best of luck!

Weather & Tee Times ⛅

(Click the images above to view the most up-to-date forecast)

Thursday: Very calm conditions to begin the day with winds picking up a touch in the afternoon hours. It will still be very manageable winds later in the day, hovering around 10 mph sustained with 15 moh gusts. Partly cloudy with temps in the 70s. Overall, great weather for some golfing!

Friday: Essentially a carbon copy of Thursday’s round except with a bit more sunshine. Light winds in the morning which will gradually pick up as the day goes on.

Weekend: Saturday will feature the occasional 15 mph wind gust but speeds should generally stay around or under 10 mph. Sunday looks to be the windiest round of the week with 10-15 mph sustained winds and slightly stronger gusts. Certainly nothing crazy, but it will be interesting to see how it impacts play after golfers receive pristine weather conditions over the first few rounds.

⚖️Weather Verdict: Weather matters less in these no-cut events to begin with but there will be no edge to be had across the first two rounds since golfers will play in very similar conditions on both days.

2024 RBC Heritage Tee Times

Key Stats to Consider 📊

1. Strokes Gained: Approach | 30%

2. Strokes Gained: Around the Green | 20%

3. Par 4 Scoring Average | 20%

4. Fairway Accuracy | 10%

5. Proximity from 175-200 Yards | 10%

6. Bogey Avoidance | 5%

7. Strokes Gained: Putting | 5%

PGA Tour Stats Page

RBC Heritage DFS Model Standouts 🏅

Below are the top 25 ranked golfers in both my overall model and my key stats model. Below that are the top 25 leaders in average fantasy points over the last five and last ten starts. The players ranked on these lists do not necessarily mean they are the top golfers I’m targeting for this week's event, but many of these guys should no doubt be favorable DFS options.

Overall Model Rank: A golfer’s ranking (within the current field) in my personal DFS model, which weighs all of the key stats listed above in this newsletter, as well as factors like course history, recent form, recent average fantasy scoring results, and odds to win.

Key Stat Rank: Provides a golfer’s overall rank (within the current field) in my "key stats only" model, which considers only the key stats listed in the section above with the specified percentage weights allocated towards each statistic.

RBC Heritage DFS Cheat Sheet📑

Click the Cheat Sheet above for the higher-quality direct image link

Alternative Cheat Sheet Direct Image Link

Cheat Sheet QR Code:

RBC Heritage Extras 📑

Here are a few additional rankings lists that could come in handy when researching this week’s tournament.

That will do it for our PGA preview! Best of luck this week and, once again, feel free to hit me up in the LineStar chat or on Twitter @Ryan_Humphries with any questions.