PGA DFS Guide + DraftKings & FanDuel Cheat Sheet | Rocket Classic 🚀 ⛳

Everything you need to know about this week's PGA tournament!

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By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter & LineStar Chat

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Tournament & Field 🏆

The PGA Tour takes us to the Motor City this week as the Rocket Classic is set to tee off at Detroit Golf Club. 2019 marked the inaugural edition of this event, as well as the first time the PGA Tour played at Detroit GC. After being spoiled with star-studded fields for an elevated event last week and a Major the week before, the overall strength of this full-sized 156-player field will be below average by comparison. Still, there are plenty of recognizable names in the field with 46 of the top 100 golfers in the DataGolf rankings teeing it up this week -- Collin Morikawa and Patrick Cantlay are the two big headliners in this field. We may have to dig a little deeper in order to find the more suitable value options among the lesser-known golfers, but I, for one, welcome the challenge! The normal 36-hole cut rule is back in play, so the top 65 golfers (including ties) will move on to play the weekend rounds. Here’s to a slew of 6/6 lineups for the LineStar fam!

The Course Preview

Detroit Golf Club (North Course)

Par 72 | 7,330 Yards

Greens: Bentgrass/Poa Mix

First Tee: Thursday, June 26th at 6:45 a.m. ET

 

Cut Line L5 Years: -4, -4, -3, -3, -5

Course Difficulty L5 Years: 32nd, 49th, 38th, 40th, 38th

Winners & Winning Scores L5 Years

2024: Cam Davis (-18)

2023: Rickie Fowler (-24)

2022: Tony Finau (-26)

2021: Cam Davis (-18)

2020: Bryson DeChambeau (-23)

 

Detroit Golf Club, a Donald Ross design dating back to the early 1900s, has served as host of the Rocket Classic since the tournament debuted in 2019. The layout was reworked prior to its PGA TOUR debut, with several holes lengthened or repositioned, but the bones of the course remain true to Ross’s signature parkland style. The course is relatively flat, provides clean sightlines off the tee, and has played as one of the more gettable setups on the schedule. Barring any extreme weather, we can once again expect a shootout this week — with a winning score likely around the 20-under mark and a cut line that should land a few shots below par.

This is a classic Par 72 layout with four Par 5s in play — and they’re all reachable for the longer hitters, especially the risk-reward 14th, which features water short and left of the green. That should open the door for a steady stream of red numbers. Average driving distance here flirts with 300 yards, and players are generally letting it rip off the tee.

The routing offers a good mix of holes — from attackable short Par 4s to longer, tougher Par 3s and 5s. The tree-lined fairways are slightly wider than TOUR average, and with limited doglegs and a lack of elevation change, players can take fairly aggressive lines. Driving accuracy last season was 65.1%, about six points higher than the TOUR norm, and many players opt for a “bomb-and-gouge” style here. That said, distance isn't everything — a sharp wedge game and hot putter can still go a long way. Nearly 50% of all approaches come from inside 150 yards, so strong play in the short-iron range is key.

The greens — a Bentgrass/Poa annua mix — lean more toward a poa feel and represent the main line of defense. They’re modest in size (about 5,100 sq. ft. on average), slope primarily back to front, and tend to run in the 12–13 range on the stimpmeter. Tiered contours and heavy bunkering make them tricky if you're out of position. Still, they’re very hittable when approached from the fairway — the GIR rate here last season was 72.9%, well above average.

When narrowing down DFS targets this week, you don’t need to get too cute. Focus on high-volume birdie makers, strong short-iron and wedge players, Par 5 scorers, and those trending with the putter. Big hitters who also aren’t overly wayward with the driver will always carry upside here, but this track has proven to be playable for a wide range of skill sets. This may not be a major or a flashy signature event, but someone has to get those PGA takedowns this week. Best of luck!

Weather & Tee Times

For anyone new to PGA DFS, we take a look at the weather to see if there is an advantage for golfers either teeing up Thursday morning/Friday afternoon (AM/PM wave) or for the guys starting their rounds Thursday afternoon/Friday morning (PM/AM wave). Your top priority in PGA DFS is to get 6-out-of-6 golfers in your lineups through the cut line and into the weekend – from there, anything can happen! If there is an edge to be had for either wave, it is important to take advantage!

Click the images above to view the most up-to-date forecasts.

⚖️Weather Verdict: Friday should be the trickiest day for wind but every golfer is going to have to contend with it for at least a portion of their round, regardless of when they’re teeing it up. That being said, a small bump could be given for the very earliest Friday tee times and the very latest, as they will avoid peak winds and gusts the most. That doesn’t exactly set up for many golfers to have a presumed advantage so, for the most part, weather and tee time draws should not play a major factor in DFS decision-making this week… but I don’t hate the idea of building a couple of lineups that skew more toward super early and super late Friday tee times. Outside of some warm temps, the weekend conditions look pristine with very little wind and plenty of sunshine.

 

Key Stats to Consider 📊

Each key stat is paired with a weighted percentage (based on stat importance) for DFS model purposes.

1. Birdie or Better Percentage | 25%

2. Strokes Gained: Approach | 20%

 > Emphasis on Short Iron Accuracy (Proximity <150 Yards) | 5%

3. Par 4 Average | 15%

4. Par 5 Average | 15%

5. Strokes Gained: Off the Tee | 10%

6. Strokes Gained: Putting | 10%

Rocket Classic DFS Model Standouts 🏅

Below are the top 25 ranked golfers in both my overall model and my key stats model. Below that are the top 25 leaders in average finishing position over the last five and last ten starts. The players ranked on these lists do not necessarily mean they are the top golfers I’m targeting for this week's event, but many of these guys should no doubt be favorable DFS options.

Overall Model Rank: A golfer’s ranking (within the current field) in my personal DFS model, which weighs all of the key stats listed above in this newsletter, as well as factors like course history, recent form, recent average fantasy scoring results, and odds to win.

Key Stat Rank: Provides a golfer’s overall rank (within the current field) in my "key stats only" model, which considers only the key stats listed in the section above with the specified percentage weights allocated towards each statistic.

Update: Tony Finau has withdrawn from this tournament

Update: Tony Finau has withdrawn from this tournament

Rocket Classic DFS Cheat Sheet📑

Click the Cheat Sheet above for the higher-quality direct image link

 

That will do it for our PGA preview! Best of luck this week and, once again, feel free to hit me up in the LineStar chat or on Twitter @Ryan_Humphries with any questions.