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PGA DFS Guide + DraftKings & FanDuel Cheat Sheet | Sanderson Farms Championship ⛳

Strategy Guide & PGA DFS Cheat Sheet

By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter & LineStar Chat

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Tournament & Field 🏆

The FedEx Cup Fall Series continues as the PGA Tour travels down south to The Country Club of Jackson in Jackson, Mississippi for the Sanderson Farms Championship. As we can typically expect in many of these Fall Series events, the field strength is going to be on the weaker side. Only 20 players inside the top 100 of the Official Golf World Rankings will be in attendance this week with Emiliano Grillo (OWGR No. 33) being the highest-ranked golfer in the field. Even without any real star power on site, this is still a great time of year to get familiarized with some of the lesser-known PGA talent as it can certainly help further down the road! This will be a full-field event and the standard cut rule is back into play – the top 65 golfers (including ties) after two rounds will move on to play the weekend.

The Course Preview

Country Club of Jackson

Par 72 | 7,461 Yards

Greens: Champion Bermudagrass

First Tee & DFS Lineup Lock: Thursday, October 5th at 8:00 am ET

Course Difficulty L5 Years: 35th, 43rd, 31st, 26th, 26th

 

Winners L5 Years

2022: Mackenzie Hughes -17

2021: Sam Burns -22

2020: Sergio Garcia -19

2019: Sebastian Munoz -18

2018: Cameron Champ -21

 

The Country Club of Jackson is a traditional Par 72 setup that features four Par 3s, four Par 5s, and ten Par 4s. This has been the host course for the Sanderson Farms Championship every year since 2014, so there is some strong, reliable course history to go off of with many of this week’s golfers. The course itself is not overly difficult and a winning score ranging from 16 to 22-under has been achieved every year since 2014.

The mostly tree-lined fairways are about average in width but can feature tight landing zones which are protected by strategically placed bunkers on many holes. As a result, that will require reasonably solid accuracy off of the tee, as the rough here can be a bit penalizing. However, I will say bombers can find success here as well. If guys miss fairways but can routinely hit it 310+ yards and use a wedge out of the rough as they make their shorter approach shots, then that sort of “bomb and gouge” play style can certainly pan out favorably. The green complexes are elevated and fairly wide open, but they do possess a bit of slope and undulation while being protected by bunkers and numerous water hazards. Missing the greens on approach shots can create difficult “up and downs.” The greens themselves are made up of Bermuda grass and will run somewhat fast (around 12 on the stimpmeter), but they should also carry consistent putting lines. Overall, accurate ball strikers who don’t miss a ton of fairways OR bombers with solid wedges will reign supreme so long as their putter doesn’t completely fail them. Since this is a Par 72 course, a little extra emphasis should go toward some Par 5 scoring metrics as well.

Weather & Tee Times

For anyone new to PGA DFS, we take a look at the weather to see if there is an advantage for golfers either teeing up Thursday morning/Friday afternoon (AM/PM wave) or for the guys starting their rounds Thursday afternoon/Friday morning (PM/AM wave). Your top priority in PGA DFS is to get 6-out-of-6 golfers in your lineups through the cut line and into the weekend – from there, anything can happen! If there is an edge to be had for either wave, it is important to take advantage!

(Click the image above to view the most up-to-date forecast)

Thursday: Sustained winds should stay under 10 mph all day with gusts kicking up to around 15 mph.

Friday: Calmer conditions in the morning with sustained winds picking up to around 10 mph closer to midday with 15 mph afternoon gusts.

Weekend: Noticeable temperature drop on the weekend. Saturday looks to be the windiest round of the week, but nothing overly harsh. Sunday sets up with very calm conditions, plenty of sunshine, and cool temps.

⚖️Weather Verdict: With the slightly stronger gusts expected on Friday afternoon, I could see the smallest of edges going to the PM/AM wave but, seriously, nothing major. Use that “edge” as a potential tiebreaker for two similarly-priced golfers you’re deciding between if they’re in separate waves and nothing more.

Key Stats to Consider 📊

1. Strokes Gained: Ball Striking (SG: App + SG: OTT) | 30%

2. Birdie or Better % | 25%

3. Par 4 Average | 15%

4. Par 5 BoB% | 10%

5. Strokes Gained: Putting | 10%

6. Strokes Gained: Around the Greens | 10%

Sanderson Farms Championship DFS Model Standouts 🏅

Below are the top 20 ranked golfers in both my overall model and my key stats model. Below that are the top 20 leaders in average fantasy points over the last five and last ten starts. The players ranked on these lists do not necessarily mean they are the top golfers I’m targeting for this week's event, but many of these guys should no doubt be favorable DFS options.

Overall Model Rank: A golfer’s ranking (within the current field) in my personal DFS model, which weighs all of the key stats listed above in this newsletter, as well as things like course history, recent form, recent average fantasy scoring results, and odds to win.

Key Stat Rank: Provides a golfer’s overall rank (within the current field) in my "key stats only" model, which considers only the key stats listed above in this newsletter with the specified percentage weights allocated towards each statistic.

Sanderson Farms Championship DFS Cheat Sheet 📑

Click the Cheat Sheet above for the higher quality direct image link

Cheat Sheet QR Code:

That will do it for our PGA preview! Best of luck this week and, once again, feel free to hit me up in the LineStar chat or on Twitter @Ryan_Humphries with any questions.