By: @Ryan_Humphries on Twitter & LineStar Chat

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Tournament & Field 🏆

The PGA Tour will prepare for a challenging week of golf as players travel out to Dublin, Ohio to compete in the Memorial Tournament hosted at the iconic Muirfield Village Golf Club. This event annually plays host to an extremely high level of competition, as the world’s best show up in droves to honor one of the game’s all-time greats, Jack Nicklaus, at his home self-designed course. That will be true once again as this tournament garners Signature Event status, meaning there is a considerably larger purse and additional FedEx Cup points up for grabs. Due to the elevated status, this event will feature a smaller field of just 73 players, but 42 of the top 50 ranked golfers will be in attendance.

Unlike most other Signature Events, there will be a 36-hole cut line this week. The top 50 golfers (including ties) on the leaderboard will advance into weekend play -- any players within 10 shots of the lead after two rounds will also make it past the cut line, if applicable. We sit two weeks out from golf’s next Major, the U.S. Open hosted by Oakmont Country Club. That makes this one of the final opportunities for golfers to fine-tune their game ahead of the upcoming major! Best of luck!

The Course Preview ⛳

Muirfield Village Golf Club

Par 72 | 7,569 Yards

Greens: Bentgrass (mixed with light poa)

Course Difficulty Last 5 Years: 4th, 4th, 9th, 10th, 2nd

Cutline Last 5 Years: +4, +3, +2, +2, +3

Welcome to Muirfield Village Golf Club, a masterpiece crafted by the legendary Jack Nicklaus himself. The course has undergone several renovations in recent years and now stretches to nearly 7,600 yards on the scorecard. This iconic Par 72 offers an extreme challenge to even the most skilled golfers. Muirfield Village GC has consistently tested the mettle of its competitors, ranking among the top 10 most difficult courses on the PGA Tour with a cut line that has been multiple shots over par in each of the previous five seasons.

As golfers navigate the tree-lined fairways, they’ll find some fairly generous landing areas. However, the closer golfers venture towards the greens, the more narrow the fairway layouts become, which will deter the “bomb and gouge” approach. The thick and punishing rough often forces players to opt for a conservative approach off the tee, sacrificing distance in favor of accuracy. A multitude of hazards are strategically positioned throughout the course; with 13 water features and 74 sand traps. Golfers will encounter intimidating hole layouts that demand shots over expansive bodies of water, putting their nerves and precision to the test. As a "second shot" course, the significance of approach shots cannot be overstated. While raw power off the tee is not essential here, precise long-range irons will be. Expect the majority of crucial approach shots to fall within the 175 to 200+ yard range, requiring skillful execution and strategic decision-making. As an effect of recent changes, there has been some added emphasis on proficiency around the green play over the last few years as well.

The bentgrass greens at Muirfield Village add a significant layer of complexity and often determine how difficult the course ultimately plays. These greens are small and undulating and demand precision and finesse. If, or when, the greens become baked out, they’ll run even firmer and faster than they already are which will lead to some very crooked numbers.

With four Par 5s on the course, the potential for birdies and the occasional eagle is there. Adding length to some of the Par 5s has been one of the changes to this course in recent years, so they’re far from pushovers, but those four holes will easily provide the most favorable scoring opportunities. Many of the Par 4s will lead to mayhem and play extremely difficult. Seven of the Par 4s measure in at over 450 yards and simply scoring par on many of those holes will almost feel like a birdie. Of the four Par 3s, three will measure in at 200+ yards and promise to test even the highest level of talent in this field. As such, golfers who excel in bogey avoidance should be given a strong look this week.

Even under ideal conditions, Muirfield Village Golf Club is a tough track to tame and the course itself draws many comparisons to Augusta National. With its rich history of challenging the world's best golfers, it has established itself as a course that demands nothing short of excellence. Fasten your seatbelts for another top-tier PGA event that will keep us all on the edge of our seats!

Weather & Tee Times ⛅

Click the images above to view the most up-to-date forecasts.

⚖️Weather Verdict: Thursday AM looks like the safest window—dry with light winds early on. Thursday PM sees a slight breeze and low rain risk, but nothing too disruptive. Friday is where things get dicey with the potential for a washout starting mid-morning and possibly lasting all day. Wind may pick up but likely takes a backseat to heavy rain and storms. The weekend improves—breezy Saturday, calmer Sunday—but Friday’s chaos makes wave advantage hard to gauge. Perhaps think about leaning toward Thursday AM tee times and hope for the best with the Friday mayhem.

the Memorial Tournament Tee Times

Key Stats to Consider 📊

1. Strokes Gained: Approach | 25%

 > Emphasis on Long-Iron Proximity (175 to 200+ Yards) | 10%

2. Par 5 Birdie or Better % | 20%

3. Par 4 Average | 20%

4. Bogey Avoidance | 15%

5. Strokes Gained: Around the Green | 10%

PGA Tour Stats Page

the Memorial Tournament DFS Model Standouts 🏅

Below are the top 25 ranked golfers in both my overall model and my key stats model. Below that are the top 25 leaders in average finishing position over the last five and last ten starts. The players ranked on these lists do not necessarily mean they are the top golfers I’m targeting for this week's event, but many of these guys should no doubt be favorable DFS options.

Overall Model Rank: A golfer’s ranking (within the current field) in my personal DFS model, which weighs all of the key stats listed above in this newsletter, as well as factors like course history, recent form, recent average fantasy scoring results, and odds to win.

Key Stat Rank: Provides a golfer’s overall rank (within the current field) in my "key stats only" model, which considers only the key stats listed in the section above with the specified percentage weights allocated towards each statistic.

the Memorial Tournament DFS Cheat Sheet📑

Click the Cheat Sheet above for the higher-quality direct image link

Alternative Cheat Sheet Direct Image Link

That will do it for our PGA preview! Best of luck this week and, once again, feel free to hit me up in the LineStar chat or on Twitter @Ryan_Humphries with any questions.