Written by Ryan Humphries | @NitroDFS on Twitter | @N1TRO on LineStar

The Player Field & Course Preview ⛳️

We enter into the final week of the swing season as the PGA Tour heads out to Sea Island Resort on Saint Simons Island, Georgia to tee it up for the RSM Classic. This event is a bit unique as golfers will compete on two separate courses -- The Seaside Course (Par 70, 7,005 yards) and The Plantation Course (Par 72, 7,058 yards). Each wave of golfers will play one round (on either Thursday or Friday) on the Plantation Course. Assuming a golfer makes the cut, their other three rounds will be played on the Seaside Course. This is a full field event with 156 golfers competing -- the top 65 (and ties) after 36 holes will move on to play the weekend. The star power is a bit thin at the top but the overall talent runs pretty deep this week, so you’ll likely recognize plenty of names in this field.

Considering three rounds are set to be played on the Seaside Course, that is the track that should draw most of our attention. Since the Seaside Course is a Par 70, it will feature twelve Par 4s and only two Par 5s -- Par 4 scoring will be crucial as is always the case on Par 70 layouts. The fairways here are tight and not very forgiving. This will put a premium on golfers who can place their shots onto smaller landing zones in order to set themselves up for better positioning as they take their approach shots. The Bermuda grass green complexes are on the smaller side, so I’ll also be looking to find highly capable scramblers since the "greens in regulation" percentage may not end up being particularly high on average. With all that said, let's get into the weather outlook, some primary statistics I am weighing, and some standout golfers to target at each price range!

Weather ⛅

This is a coastal course, so stiff winds can certainly come into play. Fortunately, the winds don’t seem to be much of an issue this week, at least for the first two rounds, which is what we’re always focused on in events with a cut. Sustained winds are going to stay in the single digits on both Thursday and Friday, with gusts hardly cracking 10+ mph. Temps will be relatively brisk but very bearable, mostly in the 50s and 60s, with no major chance of rain. The forecast gets a bit dicier once we head into the weekend, but our selected golfers will have to make it to that point first before we concern ourselves with those days. As always, the forecast page is linked to the image below.

Verdict: No significant wave advantage at this time.

Top Stats to Consider* 📊

1. Strokes Gained: Approach (SG: App) | 30%

2. Par 4 Average (P4 Avg.) | 30%

3. Birdie or Better Percentage (BoB%) | 25%

4. Scrambling | 15%

High-Priced Targets

Webb Simpson | DK: $11.6k, FD: $11.8k

Cash Rating: ★★★★☆ | GPP Rating: ★★★★★

Vegas: 8/1 | Custom Model Rank: #1

Yes, he is the priciest option on the board, but it is fully warranted. Simpson hasn’t missed a cut in 14 consecutive starts and overall has just one MC in his last 31 starts, so the consistency has been off the charts. He has plenty of past success at the Seaside Course, making 7-of-8 cuts including two top 5's and an additional top 10 finish. Per the key stats, Simpson has no weaknesses to speak of. He ranks 5th in SG: App, 4th in P4 Avg., 10th in BoB%, and 2nd in Scrambling. This is the furthest thing from a bold stance but Simpson is the class of the field by a decent margin this week and while his price may be a bit restrictive for cash consideration, I’m all on board with him as a premium GPP option.

Scottie Scheffler | DK: $9.2k, FD: $10.8k

Cash Rating: ★★★★☆ | GPP Rating: ★★★★☆

Vegas: 28/1 | Custom Model Rank: #6

If you’ve read many of these newsletters this season, you’re probably aware that Scheffler is high on my list of guys to target almost every week. He already has a pair of top 10 finishes across six starts while making every cut in the process. If you include his starts on the Korn Ferry Tour, he has just one missed cut in his previous 14 events. One drawback here would be the lack of course history. This will be Scheffler’s debut on the Seaside Course at The RSM Classic but everything is really clicking well in his bag right now, so I’m not overly concerned there. His game fits the course, as he checks in 31st in SG: App, 3rd in P4 Avg., 1st in BoB%, and 60th in Scrambling. He’ll make a very solid selection in all formats near the lower side of the high-end pricing.

Mid-Priced Targets

Brian Gay | DK: $8.8k, FD: $10k

Cash Rating: ★★★★☆ | GPP Rating: ★★★★☆

Vegas: 50/1 | Custom Model Rank: #14

Brian Gay has been a man on a mission this season. He has made all six of his cuts with two top 10s and two additional top 25s on the year. Gay has also found some solid success at Sea Island Resort, making 5-of-7 cuts, which includes a pair of top five results. He checks in 25th in SG: App, 36th in P4 Avg., 40th in BoB%, and 15th in Scrambling. After making the cut in just two of his final eight events to close out last season, he has clearly found himself a nice groove early on this go 'round and he has played well enough to be considered in both cash contests and GPPs this week.

Lanto Griffin | DK: $8k, FD: $7.4k

Cash Rating: ★★★★★ | GPP Rating: ★★★★☆

Vegas: 66/1 | Custom Model Rank: #9

This man is making appearances in these newsletters almost by default now. Griffin leads all golfers in this field with 15 consecutive made cuts entering the week and he has an average finishing position of 22nd through seven starts this season, including his win at the Houston Open. Griffin is priced appropriately on DraftKings, maybe even still a couple hundred too cheap. But that $7,400 price tag on FanDuel is straight up disrespectful and makes him a near auto-play there. Sure, he is coming off of a week where he posted a lackluster T76 result, but a made cut is a made cut, and getting 6-of-6 golfers through the cut line is always the #1 priority in PGA DFS. He ranks 33rd in SG: App, 5th in P4 Avg., 7th in BoB%, and 3rd in Scrambling. Griffin will surely be a popular selection (especially on FD). Any golfer can completely bomb in any given week, but I just have a very difficult time seeing that happening to Lanto Griffin with the way he has been playing. Perhaps moderate your exposure in GPPs (maybe even fade if you're feeling [f]risky) but he will most definitely be a core cash play for me on both primary sites. If this ship happens to sink, I won't be lonely at the bottom of the ocean.

Low-Priced Targets

Xinjun Zhang | DK: $7.3k, FD: $9.5k

Cash Rating: ★★★★☆ | GPP Rating: ★★★☆☆

Vegas: 100/1 | Custom Model Rank: #7

Like Griffin, Zhang has been a Weekly Drive mainstay as well. As long as his prices are this suppressed, he’ll stay well in play in my book. He’s ripped off six straight made cuts with a couple of top 10s thrown into the mix. His course history is not extensive but he did make the weekend in his lone trip to the Sea Island Resort back in 2017 and he’s playing much better golf at this point in his career than he was two years ago. He ranks 10th in SG: App, 12th in P4 Avg., 5th in BoB%, and 86th in Scrambling. At these salaries, you really don’t need an incredible result for him to pay off value. I anticipate he should play well enough to get into the weekend. From there, we’ll see what kind of moves he can make!

Fabian Gomez | DK: $6.8k, FD: $8.4k

Cash Rating: ★★☆☆☆ | GPP Rating: ★★★★☆

Vegas: 150/1 | Custom Model Rank: #57

Gomez is more of a 'course horse' punt play. He has done well for himself, making 4-of-6 cuts this season, but he is coming off of a MC at the Mayakoba Golf Classic last week and hasn’t really proven much within the more 'talented fields' -- given, we really haven't seen crazy strong fields yet this season (not in events with a cut and 130+ golfers anyway). As previously mentioned, this field may not be ultra-talented at the top, but it is deep with plenty of solid, seasoned golfers. Yet in six appearances at the Sea Island Resort, Gomez has made the weekend all six times with a pair of top 10 results to his credit. That strong course history alone will put him on my radar, at least for GPPs. The stats aren’t that great, as he ranks 92nd in SG: App, 40th in P4 Avg., 97th in BoB%, and 26th in Scrambling. But, as we see at most long-standing venues, some golfers just have an affinity for certain courses. This particular track has absolutely put a smile on Gomez’s face and some fat checks in his pocket throughout the years.

Quick Hits | Others to Consider

Harris English | DK: $10k, FD: $11.2k

GPP Preferred | Vegas: 28/1 | CMR: #11

English has arguably the best form in the field, with finishes of T6 or better in four of his five starts this season. I still think he is playing a bit above his head, at least to the point where I’d be hesitant to pay five figures for him in cash. Still worth heavy consideration in GPPs.

Kevin Kisner | DK: $9.8k, FD: $11k

Cash & GPP | Vegas: 28/1 | CMR: #27

Great high-priced pivot off of other potentially chalkier options in this range. His streak of 12 consecutive made cuts trails only Lanto Griffin (15) and Webb Simpson (14) in this week's field. Kisner may not have had a great start to this season but he has thrived at Sea Island Resort. He has made 7-of-9 cuts here in his career, including a win (2015, first career PGA win) and five total top 10's.

Russell Henley | DK: $8.5k, FD: $9.8k

GPP Only | Vegas: 50/1 | CMR: #29

For the price, he’s a sizable risk, but he has plenty of success on this course. Made the cut in 5-of-6 trips, including four top 10s. Not a bad GPP option whatsoever!

Cameron Tringale | DK: $7.2k, FD: $8.8k

Cash & GPP | Vegas: 100/1 | CMR: #14

He’s making cuts (5/5 this season) and has some top 25 potential. For these prices, that’s about all you can ask for. Ranks inside the top 20 in SG: App and Par 4 Average. Tringale has been another mainstay in cash games for me this season. That probably won't change this week.

Mark Hubbard | DK: $7k, FD: $8.5k

Cash & GPP | Vegas: 125/1 | CMR: #5

Another cash viable punt play who really pops off on the stat sheet. 6-of-7 made cuts on the season and ranks 35th or better in all four of my key stats. One of the golfers who really 'pops' in my personal model.

Ben Martin | DK: $6.4k, FD: $7.2k

GPP Only | Vegas: 200/1 | CMR: #117

You have to somewhat disregard the "CMR" here. Martin is coming off of an injury-plagued season but made some cuts on the Korn Ferry Tour in his return and landed a T20 at the Mayakoba Golf Classic last week. If his health holds, he’ll be an intriguing cheap golfer to target in riskier 'stars and scrubs' GPP builds.

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Best of luck to you guys this week! I'll be around in chat, so just tag me if you'd like a second opinion on a player or just have any other general PGA DFS questions!

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