Top PGA Plays - AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

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Pebble Beach... Here. We. Come.

Pebble Beach Course - Course Info

Welcome to the Fifth edition of the Drive. Our goal here is to help you break down the upcoming PGA event. This is the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am with the cut coming after 54 holes. According to the forecast they are calling for a great week for golf, with low winds (Saturday peak wind @ 14 mph) and very small chance of precipitation. This tournament is played over three courses. Pebble Beach will host 2 days of the event (given you are one of the sixty to make the cut).

All 3 of the courses (Pebble Beach par 72, Spyglass Hill par 72, and Monterey Peninsula par 71 are under 7,000 yards. With that kind of length or lack thereof, and 2 of the 3 par 72 we are in for a week of scoring for sure. This week we Finally have plenty of stars to come out, which makes the bargain barrel critical. Track down which of your guys will play Pebble on Saturday, and adjust accordingly. Strong winds and small greens could spell trouble.

Keys To The Course

Looking at players who finished in the top 5 over recent history at PGA events played at the current course(s) and which common stats contributed to those top 5 players doing well.

Top 3 Stats For This Tournament:

  1. Putting

  2. Driving Distance

  3. Scrambling

  • Trey Mullinax

  • Jason Day

  • Jon Rahm

  • Seamus Power

  • Matt Kuchar

  • Phil Mickelson

  • Talor Gooch

  • Gary Woodland

  • Robert Garrigus

  • Austin Cook

DJ a strong favorite at Pebble Beach. Lots to love about him!

Studs

  1. Dustin Johnson (12.8k FD/11.7k DK): It may be costly, but I have learned if he plays I want him. He is 8/9 making the cut @ Pebble, and has won this event twice. In his 9 trips to Pebble he has 2 wins, 6 top 5’s and 7 tops 10’s. Vegas favorite this week, something I always gauged when looking at an event.

  2. Jason Day (12.3k FD/10.9k DK): I guess my main question is how is his back? It concerns me b/c if healthy or at least able to deal with the pain, he has just as good of a chance as any. In 7 trips to Pebble he has made the cut 7/7, with 2 tops 5’s and 2 top 10’s. Over the past month he is 10th in the field in putting and 4th is driving distance (DJ hasn’t play the past month).

  3. Jordan Spieth (12.2k FD/10.7k DK): So Jordan has not putted well, and he has not scrambled well. However he still is #1 in the field in GIR, even with last week disappointment he continues to hit the greens and put himself in spots to pick up strokes. He is the riskiest of the 3, but will still make his way in many of my lineups.

Mid-Price Value Plays

Bargain Barrel

  1. Sam Saunders (8.2k FD/7k DK): He is playing well over the last month and ranks 15th in the field in GIR, 14th in driving distance, and 18th in putting.

  2. Matt Jones (7.9k FD/6.8k DK): He is 8/9 in making the cut @ Pebble. Though his average place isn’t impressive, at his price I’ll take someone playing 4 days and in top 50.

  3. Trey Mullinax (7.7k FD/7.1k DK): He has only played this event once, but did come in 14 place. Over the last month he is 9th in the field in driving distance and 2nd in the field in putting. If his putter can stay hot I think a top 25 is possible.

Avoids

It would not be a complete article if I didn’t tell you who I am avoiding. I like to go through and take guys out of the pool that I really don’t like THIS WEEK. Here are my 2 for this week.

I hope you find some value in this article and as always, MAY YOUR LINEUPS BE LIVE AND SCREENS BE GREEN 🍀🍀🍀

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